Portfolio - Sectors


Sector Related

Description

Trading live from 2026-02-28

This portfolio employs our wavelet approach to some sectors of the economy. The sectors are selected based on the findings of David Varadi. He selects a portfolio of just 4 sectors based on detecting growth and inflation. Here we use all of his four best selections and the next best.
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While these can all be active simultaneously, they are weighted based on each individual sectors contribution to performance. As a sector underperforms it will be weighted accordingly.

The portfolio uses State Street Sector ETFs, with real estate covered by an iShares fund. The full list is:

ETF Ticker Sector
The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund XLE Energy
The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund XLY Consumer Discretionary
iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF IYR Real Estate
The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund XLV Health Care
The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund XLK Technology
The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund XLU Utilities
The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund XLP Consumer Staples

The graph above represents the equity from following the portfolio in the past.

In the Details section below, the Assets tab shows the range that each currently active asset allocation can achieve.

Total position allocation is set to 80.00% of account

Details

    Assets in current use

    Assets Percentage
    IYR 0 - 8.37%
    XLE 0 - 12.16%
    XLK 0 - 16.62%
    XLP 0 - 30.75%
    XLU 0 - 9.54%

    Metrics

    Metric Measure
    Account Sectors
    SharpRatio 3.44
    SortinoRatio 7.25
    PercentWins 72.62%
    AveWin 2.24%
    AveLoss -1.25%
    AveWinLoss 1.79
    MedianDD -1.75%
    MaxDD -4.36%
    Rolling Year Return 10.87%
    Annualized Return (CAGR) 24.16%
    NegDev 0.03
    CalmarRatio 12.12

    Trades

    Symbol Open Close Open Price Close Price Type Size Profit
    XLV 2026-02-19 2026-03-03 $155.29 $154.75 Long 156 -0.34%
    XLE 2026-02-26 2026-03-04 $53.31 $54.97 Long 1300 3.11%
    XLE 2026-03-06 2026-03-10 $56.04 $54.97 Long 1417 -1.92%
    XLY 2026-03-05 2026-03-12 $115.21 $112.43 Long 191 -2.42%
    IYR 2026-03-02 2026-03-12 $98.96 $95.69 Long 403 -3.30%
    XLV 2026-03-05 2026-03-13 $153.24 $149.20 Long 145 -2.64%
    XLU 2026-03-12 2026-03-16 $45.06 $46.48 Long 1359 3.15%
    XLE 2026-03-12 2026-03-17 $56.02 $57.10 Long 1611 1.93%
    XLY 2026-03-13 2026-03-17 $111.48 $112.09 Long 183 0.54%
    XLP 2026-02-26 2026-03-17 $87.57 $83.78 Long 374 -4.32%
    XLY 2026-03-19 2026-03-20 $108.96 $108.76 Long 196 -0.18%
    IYR 2026-03-17 2026-03-26 $97.42 $92.16 Long 168 -5.40%
    XLU 2026-03-20 2026-03-26 $45.51 $44.62 Long 2079 -1.95%
    XLP 2026-03-18 2026-03-26 $82.42 $80.38 Long 364 -2.47%
    XLY 2026-03-23 2026-03-27 $109.32 $107.86 Long 199 -1.34%
    XLK 2026-03-26 2026-03-30 $134.87 $130.97 Long 217 -2.89%
    XLE 2026-03-25 2026-03-31 $59.53 $61.23 Long 836 2.85%
    XLU 2026-04-02 2026-04-06 $45.41 $45.52 Long 1886 0.23%
    XLK 2026-03-31 2026-04-07 $128.85 $135.85 Long 224 5.44%
    XLV 2026-03-19 2026-04-14 $145.34 $146.18 Long 144 0.58%
    XLE 2026-04-06 2026-04-15 $58.34 $54.87 Long 1033 -5.94%
    XLK 2026-04-09 2026-04-15 $141.43 $147.93 Long 243 4.59%
    XLK 2026-04-17 2026-04-21 $153.70 $154.64 Long 276 0.61%
    XLU 2026-04-09 2026-04-21 $46.03 $45.29 Long 1253 -1.61%
    IYR 2026-04-09 2026-04-22 $96.68 $100.55 Long 229 4.00%
    XLV 2026-04-21 2026-04-22 $147.09 $145.32 Long 198 -1.20%
    XLK 2026-04-22 2026-04-23 $155.86 $156.41 Long 466 0.35%
    XLE 2026-04-17 2026-04-28 $53.70 $56.97 Long 1219 6.08%
    XLV 2026-04-27 2026-04-30 $142.51 $142.51 Long 203 0.00%
    XLP 2026-04-24 2026-05-06 $82.63 $83.20 Long 370 0.69%
    XLV 2026-05-07 2026-05-08 $144.00 $143.42 Long 162 -0.41%
    XLU 2026-04-27 2026-05-13 $45.74 $44.19 Long 1157 -3.39%
    XLK 2026-05-05 2026-05-18 $163.49 $177.21 Long 642 8.39%
    XLE 2026-04-30 2026-05-20 $57.44 $60.01 Long 717 4.48%
    XLY 2026-03-30 2026-05-20 $106.16 $114.79 Long 218 8.12%
    XLV 2026-05-18 2026-05-20 $143.33 $146.34 Long 164 2.10%
    XLU 2026-05-18 2026-05-20 $43.47 $44.05 Long 875 1.34%
    XLP 2026-05-13 2026-05-20 $83.07 $84.43 Long 307 1.64%
    IYR 2026-04-30 2026-05-22 $99.61 $101.63 Long 213 2.03%
    XLK 2026-05-20 2026-05-22 $174.26 $179.61 Long 651 3.07%
    XLU 2026-05-22 2026-05-26 $44.45 $44.96 Long 773 1.17%
    XLE 2026-05-26 2026-05-29 $58.10 $55.94 Long 742 -3.72%
    XLK 2026-05-27 2026-05-29 $185.75 $188.89 Long 591 1.69%
    XLU 2026-05-28 2026-05-29 $44.42 $44.06 Long 641 -0.80%
    XLK 2026-06-03 2026-06-05 $197.91 $188.45 Long 474 -4.78%
    XLV 2026-05-21 2026-06-08 $145.71 $152.00 Long 167 4.32%
    XLV 2026-06-09 2026-06-10 $152.23 $153.70 Long 324 0.96%
    XLE 2026-06-09 2026-06-11 $57.32 $58.01 Long 936 1.20%
    IYR 2026-06-04 2026-06-11 $100.04 $102.49 Long 360 2.45%
    XLK 2026-06-08 2026-06-11 $184.79 $177.38 Long 489 -4.01%
    XLU 2026-06-02 2026-06-11 $42.62 $43.62 Long 639 2.34%
    XLP 2026-06-05 2026-06-11 $81.48 $84.52 Long 362 3.74%
    XLE 2026-06-15 2026-06-16 $54.48 $54.28 Long 960 -0.36%
    XLV 2026-06-15 2026-06-16 $152.46 $152.35 Long 321 -0.07%
    IYR 2026-06-12 2026-06-17 $102.41 $102.33 Long 346 -0.08%
    XLV 2026-06-17 2026-06-22 $150.81 $148.76 Long 445 -1.36%
    XLP 2026-06-18 2026-06-22 $82.71 $82.12 Long 585 -0.71%
    XLV 2026-06-23 2026-06-29 $150.92 $160.09 Long 417 6.08%
    XLK 2026-06-24 2026-07-01 $183.86 $186.62 Long 324 1.50%
    XLE 2026-06-30 2026-07-09 $53.30 $54.95 Long 536 3.10%
    XLU 2026-07-06 2026-07-09 $45.37 $45.22 Long 634 -0.34%
    XLP 2026-06-29 2026-07-14 $84.35 $83.96 Long 541 -0.47%
    IYR 2026-06-24 2026-07-16 $102.71 $103.53 Long 295 0.80%
    XLV 2026-06-30 2026-07-17 $160.40 $161.20 Long 449 0.50%
    IYR 2026-07-17 2026-07-24 $105.83 $104.73 Long 312 -1.04%
    XLV 2026-07-22 2026-07-24 $160.36 $161.85 Long 418 0.93%
    XLY 2026-06-04 2026-07-28 $117.47 $111.42 Long 270 -5.15%
    IYR 2026-07-27 2026-07-30 $105.95 $106.36 Long 378 0.38%
    XLP 2026-07-24 2026-07-30 $82.82 $85.44 Long 376 3.15%
    XLY 2026-07-30 2026-08-03 $111.93 $117.38 Long 469 4.88%
    XLV 2026-07-27 2026-08-03 $162.39 $163.01 Long 403 0.38%
    XLK 2026-07-06 2026-08-11 $182.45 $187.48 Long 316 2.75%
    XLP 2026-08-10 2026-08-11 $84.10 $84.07 Long 510 -0.05%
    XLK 2026-08-12 2026-08-13 $189.26 $188.92 Long 192 -0.18%
    XLV 2026-08-12 2026-08-14 $165.79 $167.03 Long 434 0.75%
    XLV 2026-08-17 2026-08-18 $165.82 $168.03 Long 435 1.33%
    XLK 2026-08-14 2026-08-18 $190.92 $186.08 Long 191 -2.54%
    XLV 2026-08-26 2026-08-27 $173.67 $171.30 Long 249 -1.36%
    XLK 2026-08-28 2026-08-31 $187.86 $185.56 Long 223 -1.22%
    XLP 2026-08-25 2026-08-31 $86.29 $84.79 Long 654 -1.74%
    IYR 2026-08-26 2026-09-01 $104.72 $101.86 Long 302 -2.73%
    XLK 2026-09-01 2026-09-02 $183.49 $183.25 Long 198 -0.13%
    XLE 2026-09-08 2026-09-09 $64.44 $65.16 Long 792 1.13%
    XLE 2026-09-10 2026-09-16 $65.74 $64.83 Long 776 -1.39%
    XLV 2026-09-11 2026-09-18 $166.20 $167.63 Long 308 0.86%
    XLE 2026-09-18 2026-09-21 $63.81 $63.17 Long 822 -1.01%
    XLY 2026-08-05 2026-09-21 $119.02 $111.54 Long 272 -6.29%
    IYR 2026-09-09 2026-09-21 $101.08 $98.32 Long 325 -2.73%
    XLU 2026-09-15 2026-09-21 $41.61 $40.77 Long 1093 -2.02%
    XLP 2026-09-14 2026-09-21 $83.83 $82.09 Long 480 -2.07%
    XLK 2026-09-23 2026-09-24 $196.66 $193.00 Long 210 -1.86%
    XLP 2026-09-22 2026-09-24 $82.46 $82.91 Long 753 0.55%
    XLE 2026-09-23 2026-09-30 $62.17 $61.82 Long 901 -0.57%
    XLV 2026-09-24 2026-10-01 $168.85 $168.15 Long 357 -0.42%
    XLU 2026-09-25 2026-10-01 $39.41 $39.44 Long 674 0.08%
    XLP 2026-09-25 2026-10-01 $81.41 $80.57 Long 747 -1.03%
    IYR 2026-09-25 2026-10-05 $97.07 $94.62 Long 268 -2.52%
    XLK 2026-10-01 2026-10-05 $196.87 $200.27 Long 169 1.73%
    XLY 2026-10-05 2026-10-06 $109.77 $110.84 Long 187 0.98%
    XLV 2026-10-02 2026-10-09 $166.54 $167.73 Long 364 0.71%
    IYR 2026-10-09 2026-10-12 $95.44 $96.07 Long 296 0.66%
    XLU 2026-10-02 2026-10-12 $39.88 $41.46 Long 688 3.96%
    XLE 2026-10-01 2026-10-13 $61.16 $66.50 Long 1233 8.73%
    XLY 2026-10-14 2026-10-15 $111.89 $111.94 Long 198 0.04%
    XLP 2026-10-12 2026-10-15 $83.58 $87.69 Long 834 4.92%
    IYR 2026-10-13 2026-10-19 $97.80 $97.12 Long 296 -0.70%
    XLU 2026-10-16 2026-10-19 $41.87 $42.13 Long 746 0.62%
    XLY 2026-10-19 2026-10-20 $112.93 $115.00 Long 197 1.84%
    XLV 2026-10-15 2026-10-20 $176.43 $177.66 Long 224 0.70%
    XLP 2026-10-16 2026-10-21 $87.34 $87.08 Long 802 -0.30%
    XLE 2026-10-15 2026-10-26 $67.90 $68.73 Long 787 1.22%
    IYR 2026-10-20 2026-10-27 $96.93 $98.42 Long 294 1.54%
    XLV 2026-10-23 2026-10-28 $180.40 $177.63 Long 216 -1.54%
    XLK 2026-10-20 2026-10-28 $184.27 $190.78 Long 296 3.53%

    Signals

    Asset Ratio Ticker Date State Profit
    IYR 8.37% 2026-10-27 Hold Long 2.04%
    XLE 12.16% 2026-10-26 Hold Long -0.82%
    XLK 16.62% 2026-10-28 Sell@NextOpen Long -0.10%
    XLP 30.75% 2026-10-22 Hold Long -1.57%
    XLU 9.54% 2026-10-22 Hold Long 0.96%
    60.83%

    See also